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2024-12-14 12:41:20

CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.CITIC Securities: The resonance between supply and demand of medical beauty accelerates the space expansion, and the difference in operating ability promotes the evolution of the industry structure. CITIC Securities Research Report stated that the medical beauty industry has both medical and consumption attributes, and the medical attribute has strong product-driven characteristics, while the consumption attribute has high operating ability requirements. The medical beauty botulinum toxin track is also affected by the dual attributes of medicine and consumption: 1) The increase in penetration rate, the acceleration of compliance substitution and the extension of indications have brought about high demand for medical beauty botulinum toxin, and with the recent supply expansion, the industry scale has experienced high growth; 2) The iteration of product innovation is slow, brand barriers are created through marketing, doctors are empowered through direct sales, and control is strengthened to enhance product competitiveness. Recently, a variety of medical botulinum toxins in China have been approved, and the promotion of low-priced products is expected to push up the penetration rate, and enterprises with strong operational capabilities will enter the market or promote the evolution of the pattern.


Market news: Australia will punish technology giants who don't pay for news.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.US President-elect Trump issued a document saying that the resignation of Christopher Babers, director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), is a great day for the United States, accusing the FBI under his leadership of illegal actions, such as illegal search of his home, illegal impeachment and prosecution, which undermined the future of the United States. At the same time, it is believed that Kash Patel is the most qualified candidate to lead the FBI, and he is expected to confirm his leadership position to make the FBI great again. He also said that grassroots FBI personnel and the American people also hope to see these changes.


After the shooting of the medical insurance giant executives, the executives of big companies such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have also been "targeted". The new york police are adjusting relevant posters, and the new york police are investigating posters posted in some areas of Manhattan about American business executives. In addition CEO Brian Thompson, CEO of UNH insurance business who was shot dead last Wednesday (December 4th), related posters also mentioned executives of American Express, Goldman Sachs Group, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and other companies, and their heads were all painted with red "X" signs. A spokesman for the new york police said that in addition to posters, American corporate executives are also facing increasing cyber threats.Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party tried to paralyze the government. The opposition tried to get me out of office.

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